Daily Check-In 01/08/2018

It’s Monday. I wonder what happened today?

MUELLER LOOKING TO INTERVIEW TRUMP

This happened back in December, but was just confirmed over the weekend. Mueller met with Trump’s legal team to discuss how they’re going to interview the President. Trump’s lawyers want the Special Counselor to let him write answers down. Mueller wants a full interview, and may subpoena the President to get that.

Trump is fucked if he has to testify. He is a pathological liar. He can’t help but lie. He lies about stupid shit, like the weather and what time it is.

GRASSLEY WILL NOT RELEASE FUSION GPS TRANSCRIPTS

This isn’t much of a surprise, considering his bullshit tactics on Friday with Christopher Steele.

There is a workaround to get the transcript in the open. A Senator can introduce classified information into the public record by reading it on the floor of the Senate. This happened before with the Pentagon Papers back during the Vietnam War.

WHAT HAPPENED TO LINDSEY GRAHAM?

Something happened to Lindsey Graham back in December. He went from being a harsh critic of Trump to actively carrying his water. This all happened after Lindsey played a round of golf with Trump.

Why?

I’ve got two hypotheses.

First, the carrot. Trump’s Cabinet is falling apart, and there are several rumored positions opening up soon. Secretary of State, Interior, EPA, Attorney General, and possibly a few others. Trump gave Graham the wine and dine, and offered him a position if he’d help with the investigation.

Second, the stick. During the golf trip, Trump told Lindsey about what he knew about the investigation, including that Lindsey was implicated by accepting money from Russia, or some other Kompromat. Remember, Lindsey took $800,000 from Russian Americans connected to Putin for his re-election campaign, even though he wasn’t running for Senate in 2016. If Lindsey doesn’t want to go to prison, he’ll stop the investigation.

I think it’s a mix of these two. Lindsey’s former campaign manager, Chris Ferry, worked for Paul Manafort at the Davis Manafort consulting company, and his name is on some deals with Oleg Deripaska and other oligarchs. There is something that scared Lindsey.

I am honestly saddened by Lindsey’s heel turn. Heel turn is a wrestling term for someone becoming a bad guy. He was one of the few Senators who was putting country over party, only to go full Trump. What’s crazier is the timing. Trump is a cancer to anyone seeking re-election, and his popularity is dragging down everything he touches. Everyone he endorsed in November and December lost. Record numbers of Republicans are not running for re-election in 2018. The rays are fleeing the ship. So why join now?

That’s it for today. Things are heating up. The Rumor Mill is abuzz with activity. Each time something big happens, there’s an influx of troll activity. And things have been heating up recently. Combine this with the news of Mueller wanting to talk to Trump, and we’re in for some crazy shit.

Thank you, and have a good one.

“Without Journalists, it’s just propaganda.”

– Katy Tur

2017 Retrospective

Hello there, it’s been a while. December has been a very rough month for me. I’ve had maybe 3 days this month where I haven’t been sick, and 2 of those were spent fighting a broken furnace.

But it’s that time of the year when everyone and their mother throws together a compilation list of the best and worst stuff that happened in the past 365ish days, then go on vacation for the rest of the year.

I hate those posts.

I don’t like nostalgia for nostalgia sake, and 2017 doesn’t deserve a “best of” send off.

I hate it when people talk about the “good old days” and wax poetically about a memory of a time that was a hell of a lot worse than their rose-tinted glasses made appear.

Instead, I want to talk about what changed in 2017, what stayed the same, what was learned, and why it’s worth fighting.

While this is mostly concerned with what has happened in the News, I’m also including personal change as well. I’m hesitant to call it growth, but change is accurate.

WHAT CHANGED IN 2017?

For anyone reading this after waking up from a coma that started the last week of October 2016, I’ve got some bad news. Trump won the Presidential election. But, as we’ve come to learn, he didn’t do it alone. He had a lot of help from his friends in Russia, and there were more than enough Americans that helped him as well.

2017 started off weird, as the Obama Administration has just instituted several major new sanctions on Russia. Trump didn’t seem to want to do anything to Russia, and evidence was still coming in about what happened in November. The MSM was still hoping that Trump, a 70 year old misogynistic, racist, ignorant fool would somehow not embarrass the country in front of the world, and that if we gave him a chance, he might actually not suck.

That hope lasted all of about two days.

After a small inauguration event, Trump’s team went into full-on propaganda mode by distributing false photos of the event where they photoshopped a much larger crowd, while going after anyone who spread the real photos. At the same time, his Administration went after the Parks Service, trying to erase any mention of climate change from Government sites.

That’s when the Resistance started.

The Women’s March. The Alt accounts. The March for Science. The Airport Protests. The March for Reason. More people had marched against Trump by April of 2017 than against Cancer all year long.

It’s also the first whispers that something wasn’t right in the White House. In between trying to undo everything Obama did and implement his Muslim Ban, word came around that Mike Flynn was in some serious legal jeopardy. (SPOILER ALERT: He’s now a convicted felon.) Trump’s team was told in late January by Acting Attorney General Sally Yates that Flynn had lied to the FBI. She was fired the next day. Flynn resigned 18 days later.

This is just up to February.

A couple things changed in February for me.

First, I found PostimusMaximus on Reddit, and read a lot of his posts. I assume it’s a him, but I could be wrong. Reading his work was eye opening, but insane. I saw many of the markers of old school conspiracy theories, but there was something different with his work. Instead of citing places like Coast to Coast, he cited real sources like the Washington Post and New York Times. I decided to keep an eye on him.

Next, I rejoined Twitter and started following a few people. Claude Taylor, Louise Mensch, and John Schindler. Eventually I followed a lot more people like Countercheckist, Tea Pain, Eric Garland, Rick Wilson, and more politicians, lawyers, and spooks than exist outside of D.C.

There was a weird feeling following these people on Twitter. It was sort of like joining a conversation halfway through and only catching small slivers, and then realizing that the slivers are in a different language. They were talking about indictments and grand juries and investigations by the FBI, the Steele Dossier, SIGINT from the Mayflower Hotel, while the rest of the world was still stuck on Trump and Twitter.

In March, that’s when Russia came roaring in to the picture. During a late night rage tweet, Trump said Obama had tapped his phones. Even though this was a horseshit claim, the House Intelligence Committee decided to hold a hearing about it and invited FBI Director James Comey to testify.

The Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigations confirmed, under oath, that the Trump Campaign was under a counterintelligence investigation that started in July 2016, and that grand juries had been impaneled to deal with that investigation.

Hole. Lee. Shit.

This confirmed that at least part of what the Rumor Mill was saying was true, and that it was worth looking into the rest of their chatter, if just to see if it was a case of a broken clock being right twice a day, or if there was something to this group fighting for Democracy.

Over the next few months, I noticed a few other changes. I stopped viewing the CIA and FBI as “the enemy.” I questioned the source of my news more often. I viewed what other people took as gospel and investigated it myself. I became more politically active. I started sounding like a complete nutter when I tried to describe what I was seeing and hearing about Trump and Russia. I was becoming more and more outspoken in my criticisms.

I also realized that these were historic times, and I should write down what happened so one day my kids could ask me “What The Fuck, Dad?”

I toyed with the idea of doing this blog back in May when Trump fired Comey and Robert Mueller was named the Special Counselor. I was looking into it when news of the June 9 meeting broke, and Donnie Jr proved to be the Dumbest Mother Fucker in the history of Dumb Mother Fuckers. I eventually got around to it in July, and I’ve been here since.

WHAT STAYED THE SAME IN 2017?

This is still the United States of America, a country of laws, not men, or wealth, or personalities.

WHAT DID WE LEARN?

I learned not to take the press for granted.

There are quite a few people willing to sacrifice the future for small gains now, and those people must be dealt with. Unfortunately, there are quite a few more of them than I originally thought, and a lot of them have too much money. That doesn’t mean they’re invincible, it means the battle will be that much harder.

Sometimes conspiracies do exist.

A conspiracy is only as strong as the weakest person involved. It’s been 5 months since George Papadopoulos turned States Evidence against the Trump Campaign, and less than a month since Mike Flynn was convicted and flipped. George is a young man who doesn’t want to grow old in jail, and Mike Flynn just became a granddad.

There’s still a lot we don’t know about Trump and Russia, but the evidence at this point leads to a conspiracy between them to steal the election in Trump’s favor. Nearly every member of his campaign and transition team either had contact with Russians, or knew about it.

Trump is a micromanaging asshole. No one in his circle does anything without his approval.

Donald Trump is unable or unwilling to change his ways.

The Trump Family is a crime family.

Some laws are easier to convince a jury about than others.

IS THIS WORTH FIGHTING FOR?

Absofuckinglutely. The moment we give in is the moment that everything this country was built on dies.

This is America. Churchill said it best when he said that we will always do the right thing, we’ll just try everything else first.

I don’t know about anyone else, but I want my kids to grow up in a world where the United States is still that shinning city on the hill where dreams can and do come true, where everyone is equal under the law, and a persons worth isn’t measured by their bank account, but the content of their character.

That’s it for today. I hope to be back up and writing on a normal schedule soon. Stuff did happen over the past couple weeks, including a confirmation of sorts that the RNC knew about the Trump Campaign colluding with the Russians, and that they actively took part in targeting specific zip codes, using information gained by Russians.

Thank you, and have a good one.

GTKYG – Chain of Succession

Welcome back to the “Get to Know Your Government” series.  Today, I want to talk about a subject that might not be known by too many people outside of history buffs and Constitutional Law scholars, but that I feel will be heading to the forefront of conversation in 2018.

The American Presidential Chain of Succession.

As I covered in GTKYG-Presidential Removal Processes, there are a few ways that a presidency can end prematurely.  When that happens, the Vice President assumes the role of President, and under the powers granted to them under the Second Section of the Twenty Fifth Amendment, they are allowed to nominate their choice for Vice President.  This happened when Gerald Ford assumed the presidency following Richard Nixon’s resignation.

But, how far does the chain of succession go?  What if there were a situation where multiple people died at once, or were removed from office?  What happens then?

In that case, it goes down the line to then person in the chain.

Following the President and Vice President, the Speaker of the House is third in line. The Speaker is the elected head of the House of Representatives.  That position is currently held by Paul Ryan, Republican of Wisconsin.

After them, it’s the President pro tempore of the Senate.  This position is an honorary one, awarded to the Senator who has served the longest in the Senate.  Currently, that position is held by Orrin Hatch, Republican of Utah.

If, by some chance, all four of these people are unable to assume the presidency, or turn it down, the chain of succession goes through the Cabinet, by order that the position was created, starting with Secretary of State, Treasury, Defense, Attorney General (the original four positions from Washington’s first Cabinet), then through the rest of the positions, in the order that they were added.

CHAIN OF SUCCESSION

Below is a list of those positions, those mentioned above and the Cabinet positions, along with who is in the position, and their party affiliation, if available.  OPEN represents that the position is not currently filled, or has an acting head who has not yet been confirmed by the Senate.

  1. President Donald Trump (R)
  2. Vice President Mike Pence (R)
  3. Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R)
  4. President pro tempore Orrin Hatch (R)
  5. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson (R)
  6. Secretary of Treasury Steven Mnuchin (R)
  7. Secretary of Defense James Mattis (I)
  8. Attorney General Jeff Sessions (R)
  9. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke (R)
  10. Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Purdue (R)
  11. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross (R)
  12. Secretary of Labor Alex Acosta (R)
  13. Secretary of Health and Human Services OPEN
  14. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Ben Carson (R)
  15. Secretary of Transportation Elaine Chao (R) NOT ELIGIBLE FOR PRESIDENT
  16. Secretary of Energy Rick Perry
  17. Secretary of Education Betsy DeVos
  18. Secretary of Veterans Affairs David Shulkin (I)
  19. Secretary of Homeland Security OPEN

If, and I mean IF, by some infinitesimal chance that everyone in the list above is not able to assume the office of President, then the chain would go through Congress, in order of the leadership bodies first (Majority Leaders, Minority Leaders, Majority Whip, etc.), then through each person in order of their tenure in office.

THE DESIGNATED SURVIVOR

I’m not talking about the ABC show with Keifer Sutherland, but the idea that the show is based off of.

Before any joint session of Congress where the President, Vice President, and Cabinet get together, one member of the Cabinet is chosen to spend the event in a bunker somewhere.  They’re taken to a non-disclosed, secure location, where they’re kept under guard.  This is in case the unthinkable happens.

In case the Capitol is attacked, and everyone inside is killed.

If that were to happen, then the Designated Survivor would be sworn in as President, and they would be tasked with restaffing and rebuilding the government.

WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT?

It’s important to understand how things work, especially the government.  If something falls apart, we need to know how it can be fixed.

Really?  Ok, here’s why…

We are in uncharted waters with the Russian Investigation.  I’ve written many times about how many people are tied up with Russia, or have their own looming legal troubles.  There is an above zero percent chance that multiple people in the chain of succession could be indicted at once.

Here’s the list again, along with why they might not be able to, or interested in, taking the presidency.

  1. President Donald Trump (R) – Russia, RICO, Obstruction Investigations
  2. Vice President Mike Pence (R) – Russia and Flynn
  3. Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R) – Russia, Money laundering at RNC
  4. President pro tempore Orrin Hatch (R) – Clean, but REALLY OLD
  5. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson (R) – NY Fraud Investigations, Russia
  6. Secretary of Treasury Steven Mnuchin (R) – Abuse of Public Trust, Taxpayer Funded Trips
  7. Secretary of Defense James Mattis (I)
  8. Attorney General Jeff Sessions (R) – Russia
  9. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke (R) – Abuse of Public Trust, Taxpayer Funded Trips
  10. Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Purdue (R)
  11. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross (R) – Russia, tied to Putin family in Paradise Papers, Money Laundering ties with Paul Manafort
  12. Secretary of Labor Alex Acosta (R)
  13. Secretary of Health and Human Services OPEN
  14. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Ben Carson (R)
  15. Secretary of Transportation Elaine Chao (R) NOT ELIGIBLE FOR PRESIDENT – Immigrants are not eligible for the Presidency.
  16. Secretary of Energy Rick Perry – Abuse of Public Trust, Taxpayer Funded Trips
  17. Secretary of Education Betsy DeVos – Russia.
  18. Secretary of Veterans Affairs David Shulkin (I) – Abuse of Public Trust, Taxpayer Funded Trips
  19. Secretary of Homeland Security OPEN

The craziest of the rumors I’ve heard have Trump, Pence, and Ryan all being indicted and/or removed from office at once.  If that happens, then Orrin Hatch would be the next in line, but he’s 83 years old, has hinted at retirement, and reportedly might have dementia or Alzheimer’s.  After him, the next clean person in the list is Jim Mattis, Secretary of Defense.

Is it likely that we end up with President Jim Mattis?  No.  It’s not impossible, but highly unlikely.  This is one of those crazy scenarios that just isn’t likely to happen.  Then again, I said the same thing about Trump becoming President.

BREAKING THE CHAIN

There is one other part to keep in mind.  Remember when I said earlier that if the Vice President becomes the President, they get to choose their own Vice President?

That could come in to play, and could be used to elevate someone up the chain, especially if there is some kind of Quid Pro Quo in place to provide a stable transition of power.

Let’s face it, Mike Pence is likely to become the 46th President of the United States, and it will happen before 2020.  If it has to happen, I’d rather it happen late next year.  Under the 22nd Amendment, if a Vice President serves more than half of their predecessors term, they can only run for election once.  If they serve less than two years of a term, then they could run for two terms.  If it’s late enough in the year, he won’t be able to cause too much harm, and will be stuck in his own legal quagmire with Russia.

Assuming Mike Pence comes to power, he would get to choose his own Vice President, pending approval of both houses of Congress.  One of the rumors I’ve heard would have him choosing a “safe” choice that would serve as a place holder while he’s going through his own legal mess.  Someone who’s integrity isn’t under question, and knows the lay of the land.

And that’s how we could possibly end up with President James Mattis.

Trump vs. Bernie

This is a story I’ve wanted to write for a while, but I’ve never gotten around to it, and since it’s going to take me some time to wrap my head around the Mike Flynn stories and the release of the Paradise Papers, or Panama Papers: The Sequel, I decided that I would write about Vladimir Putin’s Wet Dream.

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders for President of the United States.

As I discussed way back in Horseshoe Theory, parts of the Left Wing refused to follow Hilary Clinton for any reason, and the damning emails released as part of the DNC hack, which many of them were faked, helped cement the narrative that the “fix was in.”  These people would speak up during the many times that Trump did something stupid since he “won” the election, and proclaim, in the dankest of memes and most hipsterish voice possible, “Bernie would’ve won.”

No, he fucking wouldn’t.

He would’ve lost, and I doubt it would have been close.  Hell, Trump might have even won the popular vote against Bernie Sanders.

Don’t get me wrong, I actually like Bernie and voted for him in the Democratic Primary, but in retrospect, if he had won the primary, it would’ve been ugly.

Why?  If America wasn’t “ready” for a woman President, what about an Atheist Socialist Jew?

Let’s take a look at Bernie Sanders.

An Independent Senator from Vermont, he’s been in the Senate since 2007 after serving as their Representative in Congress from 1991.  He’s a former Mayor of Burlington, Vermont, and has been a political outsider and champion of human rights most of his life.  He protested for Civil Rights back in the 1960’s and was even arrested.  He was there for Martin Luther King, Jr.’s “I Have A Dream” speech in Washington.  The only time he was a member of the Democratic Party was when he ran for President in 2016 against Hilary Clinton.

THE NARRATIVE

The story that spread through the news like wildfire was that Bernie was kept from receiving the nomination for the Democratic Party because he wasn’t an insider, and that the system was rigged from the beginning to prevent him from winning, and had he ran, he would’ve beaten Donald Trump, and none of our problems would be taking place, because there would have been a “Blue Wave” through the Congress and Senate as well.

Let’s break that down, point by point.

First, Bernie is not, and for most of his life, was not a member of the Democratic Party.  Unlike Clinton, he hadn’t spent the last 30 years raising money for them, or campaigning for them.  So this part that he’s an outsider is true.

Second, that the system was rigged against him.  If by that they mean, “he lost to Hilary by millions of votes” then yes, it was rigged.

Next, things get interesting.  Let’s assume for a moment that Bernie had won the nomination, and he’s going up against Donald Trump, who rode a wave of racist, isolationist, populist voters to the nomination of the Republican Party.

It would have been a candidate in his 70’s, of questionable long term health, who had refused to release his tax records before the campaign started, and was elected by the fringe elements of one of the main parties in the United States, with some dubious ties to Russians…

Versus Donald Trump.

Yep.  Bernie has his own skeletons, many of which mirror Trump.  Bernie didn’t release his taxes, his wife is under investigation for fraud, he has historically not supported sanctions against Russia, and was elected by the fringes of the Left Wing, which, it turns out, was astroturfed by the Russians during the Primary, and even the General Election in 2016.

PUTIN’S WET DREAM

Why do I keep saying that?  For anyone that forgets Junior High Health Class, a nocturnal emission, or wet dream, is when a person orgasms in their sleep, usually from a sexual fantasy.  A good cure for it is jerking off.  Although that does make this analogy fall apart, unless one considers his work screwing with Ukraine and Brexit as foreplay for the United States.

Anyway, Putin’s ultimate fantasy is to make himself the most powerful man in the world.  He can’t do that with a strong United States aligned against him.  What’s the fastest way to erode the standing of the United States?

Make it look like Democracy and Laws don’t work by staging an election with two extremes against each other, leaving the vast majority of people out of the conversation, and twist the argument further by stoking both sides against each other.  This would create even further divisions in an already divisive situation.

RACISM AND RELIGION TAKE FRONT STAGE

So, go back to the point of “Bernie would’ve won.” Remember all of the crap that Hilary went through in the campaign?  Every move of hers was examined through a looking glass, as though she couldn’t do anything right, meanwhile Trump committed so many blunders on the trail, yet still got a free pass from the media, giving him an air of legitimacy.

Ignoring the fact that she’s a woman, Hilary Clinton was the most qualified candidate for President in a very long time.  She was an established lawyer, former First Lady, and the first First Lady to actually use her position as a political one.  She was a Two-Term Senator from New York, ran for President once before, and was Secretary of State for 4 years.  The only two nominees since the 1980’s who were more qualified were George H. W. Bush and Al Gore, and they were each Vice President for eight years.

Several dog whistles were made at Hilary because she was a woman.  Everything from “Does she have the stamina” to the Nasty Woman comments, and that was from Trump during the debates!  The vile online was hundreds of times worse.

So, imagine what the reaction from the Alt-Right and Neo-Nazis would have been to an Atheist Jew from New England.  Think they would’ve treated him with kid gloves?

Hell no.

And the media wouldn’t have given him a fair shake, either.  Atheists are historically some of the least-trusted people, simply because they don’t believe in any god.  Polls have gotten better over the years, but they’re still ranked lower on the general trustworthiness scale than pedophiles and terrorists.  Apparently, people in the Bible Belt would rather their children be left with a child molester that believes in their god than with someone who is neither religious nor touches kids inappropriately.

A lot of this came around during Barack Obama’s run with talk that he was somehow both a Muslim (a member of a religion) and an Atheist (a non-religious person).

Bernie would have been dragged through the mud for being a Jew (a person with Jewish ancestors) and an Atheist.

WHY TALK ABOUT THIS NOW?

This past week, there was a concerted effort to bring up the DNC story, and try to have that take center stage to deflect from the negative stories coming out, and that it would distract the public from the other DNC story that came out Friday.  I covered this a little bit in Daily Check-In 11/3/2017.  What I didn’t cover were some of the reactions on Twitter.  I wasn’t on Twitter that much last year, and the few times I did use it, I wasn’t following former spies, journalists, and politicians.

The spies don’t like Bernie.  Not one bit.  They’ve seen more than a few people connected to his team that were connected to Trump’s actions, and they report that there were more than a few communications between known Russian agents and Bernie’s team. One of the more damning things that they point to was that Bernie and some of his closest surrogates were pushing the DNC Mail story the day before Wikileaks released the mails.  I think that there could be a better explanation for all of this, but then again, I try to find the simplest explanation all of the time, and “The Russians Did It” only works when it is the best answer to fit the evidence.

Then again, I’m reminded of how much Russia played both sides of every argument in the last couple years.  They would organize events for both sides of a divisive issue at the same time, and many of the people who pushed Pro-Bernie propaganda would join the Trump Train.

 

That’s it for tonight, I think.  I’ll try to find out more about the Paradise Papers.  This is like the Panama Papers, but also directly implicates Wilbur Ross in a deal where he owns a substantial stake of a shipping company with Putin’s son-in-law.  Also, the Paradise Papers show that Yuri Milner, a friend of Jared Kushner, was possibly a go-between for the Russian Government and investments in Twitter of $191 Million and of $1 Billion in Facebook.

 

Thank you, and have a good one.