Daily Check-In 8/30/2017

Thursday. This is going to be a short entry tonight. Not that stuff didn’t happen, I’m just really tired today.

A report came out about an hour ago that Mueller’s federal investigation into Paul Manafort has teamed up and is sharing evidence with NY AG Schneiderman’s money laundering investigation. This has been reported by the Rumor Mill before, but is now hitting the mainstream.

Rinat Akhmetshin, the Russian spy and lobbyist who was at the Trump Tower meeting on June 9, 2016, has testified in front of Mueller’s grand jury.

Supposedly, the Senate Intel Committee wants to hear from Michael Cohen and Dana Rohrbacher.

Dimtry Firtash, one of Manafort’s contacts, has been denied extradition to Spain.

There could be a potential legal review into Joe Arpaio’s pardon. This could be big, as it could put Trump’s pardon power into question.

Don Jr. is set to testify before the SIC.

The Trump Tower Moscow deal was financed by VTB, a bank that is majority owned by the Russian Government. This isn’t the VEB bank that worked Carter Page, or Sberbank, which met with Jared Kushner, nor Alfa Bank, whose servers were communicating with a server in Trump Tower. Anyway, that plan had land and money set aside for it.

I want to dig deep into the Alfa Bank story, but we’ll see what happens.

That’s it for tonight.

Thank you, have a good one.

Daily Check-In 8/29/2017

Tuesday. That time again.

SEND LAWYERS, GUNS AND MONEY

You know it’s bad when your former lawyer and spokesperson are both subpoenaed by Robert Mueller. How bad? Ask Paul Manafort.

It sounds like the current play is squeeze Paul like a grape until the juice comes out. These sound like they’re looking into Paul’s past in Ukraine.

THE TRUMP’S IN TEXAS

Donald Trump visited Texas today. Did he say anything about the sacrifice of the first responders, or about human compassion?

What do you think?

Trump marveled at the size of his crowd, and how he’s dealing with the greatest natural disaster ever.

Once again, all about him. NPD gonna NPD.

MATTIS FREEZES THE TRANNY FREEZE

Maybe not the most elegant section title, but Secretary of Defense James Mattis is not implementing the proposed Transgender ban in the military until after sufficient study has been completed.

This may just be a delaying action, but it could also be the DoD telling Trump that he should pound sand. Let’s see how things go.

DeSANTIS AND ROHRBACHER

Rep. Ron DeSantis, Republican out of Florida, is attempting to place budgetary limits on Mueller’s team, restricting them to 6 months and that he can’t investigate anything older than when the campaign started in June 2015.

By the way, he’s received the maximum donations from the Blatvanik’s. Maybe he’s tied up in something he’s afraid will reach the light of day?

Meanwhile, Dana Rohrbacher, Russia’s favorite member of the House, is trying to set up a meeting with Donald Trump to brief him on Dana’s recent meeting with Julian Assange. There’s a rumor circulating that Trump might be floating the idea of pardoning Assange.

Julian Assange is in charge of Wikileaks, and the only way he could be more obviously be a Russian agent would be if he were an actual bear on a unicycle.

MAGA, TRADEMARK 2012

This one just came in on Twitter, and I confirmed from This link that Donald Trump was entertaining running for President within 2 weeks of the 2012 election.

How?

He registered “Make America Great Again” as a trademark.

Below are the screenshots from the Justia website, just in case anything disappears by then.

What does this mean? Well, it could be nothing. Or, it puts everything from 2012 to the 2016 in a different light. He registered this trademark right after Mitt Romney lost to Barack Obama. All actions in that time were about getting elected President. Any shady activities were undertaken while he was working to become President. The 2013 Miss Universe Pageant in Moscow. The real estate deals. The constant race baiting. All of it.

Let’s see what tomorrow brings.

Thank you.

Have a good one.

Daily Check-In 8/28/2017

Time for another week.

COHEN AND SATER

Two names that are coming to the forefront this week are Felix Sater and Michael Cohen.

Felix Sater is a long time “business associate” of Donald Trump, who specializes in real estate development and has had tons of contacts with the Russian Mafia, supposedly all the way up to Putin’s inner circle.

Michael Cohen is Donald Trump’s longtime personal lawyer. He’s been involved in a lot Trump’s shadier deals in the last decade. He’s been called Donald Trump’s Third Son.

In the last 24 hours, reports have come out that both of them had extensive contacts with Russia after the campaign had already started about opening a hotel in Moscow, with the Trump name, using financing backed by the Oligarchs/Russian Mafia, in clear violation of the Magnitsky Act. This was while Trump was running for President. Felix Sater bragged about how this deal would “win them the Presidency.”

If this doesn’t sound illegal enough, here’s a couple more pieces.

The Presidential Campaign has repeatedly claimed to have no contacts with Russia, then a couple, then a few, but none as early as October 2015.

Trump leasing his name would require rescinding of the sanctions against Russia for it to take place.

Real estate is the easiest way to launder large amounts of money.

This is big. This puts two more people with direct business ties to Donald Trump in direct connection with Russia.

Michael Cohen lawyered up in May. According to rumors, Felix Sater flipped on Trump a while back.

We are well passed the land of coincidence.

NORTH KOREA

North Korea fired a missile or three over Japan. Details are still coming in.

HOUSTON

Houston is underwater. It’s gonna a long time until that’s cleaned up. Trump is scheduled to visit Texas on Tuesday. Somehow, he’ll make himself the victim. That’s NPD for ya…

DISINFORMATION AND CATFISHING

The twitterverse is in a little turmoil. Claude Taylor announced earlier that he was fed a lot of disinformation about Schneiderman and human trafficking charges. This isn’t the first time he’s been catfished. Him, Louise, and other members of this part of the Resistance are under attack recently. More than usual, that is. Disinformation is a common trick used by the Russians, but why feed a couple people on twitter this?

To destroy credibility.

Though not always accurate, those two have been ahead of the curve. They knew a lot of the Trump connections and reported them before the MSM. From following them, I knew about Felix Sater months ago. A lot of people look up to them. And if their credibility gets trashed, so does this part of the Resistance.

Funny thing is, there’s a good chance that they tried to catfish Claude to discredit future reports that might come out about Trump’s ties to human trafficking charges. As Captain Sheridan said “Always put a little piece of truth inside of a lie. It makes the lie easier to swallow.”

TRUMP AND ARPAIO

Months ago, according to the Washington Post, Trump asked Attorney General Jeff Sessions to bury the Joe Arpaio case. He asked this because Joe was a friend.

This establishes a pattern of Trump’s complete lack of respect for the legal system, and puts the Comey requests to end the Russian Investigation in a new light.

Hopefully, this is all that happens tonight.

I’ll see you tomorrow.

Have a good one.

GTKYG-Presidential Removal Processes

Welcome to another installment in “Get To Know Your Government,” a series that answers obscure questions about how politics and government in the United States works.

This installment is brought to you by 2017. The Hold-My-Beer of years.

The President of the United States of America is the head of the Executive Branch of the Federal government, and is ostensibly in charge of setting policies on how laws are enforced, is the Commander in Chief of the military, and helps set foreign policy. They do not create laws, nor do they interpret them. Those are the purview of the Legislative and Judicial branches, respectively. Separate but equal in power, ensuring a series of checks and balances on each other.

A President is elected through the Electoral College, not by popular vote, and serves a 4 year term. The 22nd Amendment set a limit of two terms. This was after FDR died in office shortly after being sworn in for his fourth term.

There are five ways that a person can be leave the Presidency. They are completing their term, death, resignation, removal following Impeachment, and removal following the procedures laid out in the 25th Amendment.

SERVING OUT THE TERM

The easiest, and by far most common method for a President to leave the office is to finish their term. Once their four years are up, or 8 if they won reelection, they walk out and go home. Every President since Gerald Ford has left the office peacefully at the end of their term. It’s said that on Inauguration Day, the two happiest people on the planet are the incoming and outgoing Presidents. One has accomplished their life-long goal, the other is glad that it’s someone else’s problem now.

DIED IN OFFICE

The next most common method of leaving office is unfortunately the most tragic. Dying in office. This has happened 8 times in American history. William Henry Harrison got sick and died in 1841, a few months after being elected. Zachary Taylor ate something that didn’t agree with him in 1850. Abraham Lincoln was assassinated in 1865, as was James Garfield in 1881, and William McKinley in 1901. Warren G. Harding died of mysterious circumstances in 1923, Franklin D. Roosevelt died of natural causes in 1945, and John F. Kennedy was killed in 1963. In each of those situations, the Vice President was immediately sworn in as President.

RESIGNATION

As of August 2017, only Richard Milhouse Nixon has resigned the office of President of the United States. Nixon resigned before he was impeached for his role in Watergate. When he resigned, Gerald Ford became the first President to serve that wasn’t elected by the Electoral College as either the President or Vice President, as he was appointed to replace Spiro Agnew.

IMPEACHMENT

The founding fathers developed a method to remove corrupt government officials from their offices called Impeachment.

Impeachment works when the House of Representatives drafts and passes Articles of Impeachment against a person, listing all of the crimes they are accused of. Then, the House votes on each article. If even one of those passes the House, the official is Impeached. That does not mean they are removed from office, however.

Following an Impeachment, the passed articles then head to the Senate for trial. There, the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court oversees the trial while the Senate serves as the jury. If a 2/3rds majority votes yea, the person is removed from office and is barred from serving the public trust ever again.

While this has happened with many judges and other bureaucrats, no President has been removed from office this way. Bill Clinton was impeached in the 1990’s for lying under oath, but the vote to remove him from office wasn’t even close. Andrew Johnson avoided removal from office by one vote.

25TH AMENDMENT

The final legal method for removing a President from office is through use of the 25th Amendment.

Section 4. Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.

Thereafter, when the President transmits to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives his written declaration that no inability exists, he shall resume the powers and duties of his office unless the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive department or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit within four days to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office. Thereupon Congress shall decide the issue, assembling within forty-eight hours for that purpose if not in session. If the Congress, within twenty-one days after receipt of the latter written declaration, or, if Congress is not in session, within twenty-one days after Congress is required to assemble, determines by two-thirds vote of both Houses that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall continue to discharge the same as Acting President; otherwise, the President shall resume the powers and duties of his office.

Section 4 of the 25th Amendment was originally intended to be used for temporary incapacitation or serious medical issue, like a stroke or heart attack. George W. Bush used this when he went under for a colon surgery, and, for s few hours, Dick Cheney was Acting President. The only thing he did was write a note to his granddaughter.

This has never been used to permanently transfer power to the Vice President. It hasn’t been needed yet.

LIKELIHOOD OF EACH HAPPENING

Personally, based off of what I’ve seen, read, heard, felt, and tasted, here’s how I think Trump will leave office.

Donald Trump won’t make it a full 4 year term. He’s under several investigations at once, is facing record low approval ratings, is an embarrassment to the country, and is dangerously unstable, and unhealthy.

Death from natural causes is pretty high with him. I won’t rule out an assassin trying something, but the Secret Service is very good at their job.

Trump may try to resign when he feels things are getting too close to him, but he’s just unstable enough to want to fight this the whole way through an Impeachment. I put the odds between those two at a coin toss.

As far as the 25th goes, all it requires is a majority of the Cabinet, or a panel appointed by the House to determine whether Donald Trump is fit to serve as President. I still think it’s pretty unlikely, which considering its 2017, means it’ll probably happen. It’s the easiest and safest way for the Republicans to get away from Trump without any criminal charges.

That’s it for tonight. Let’s see what else breaks.

Daily Check-In 8/25/2017

For Fuck’s Sake, it’s Friday.

Centuries from now, when someone describes a leader doing nothing during a disaster, they won’t talk about Nero fiddling while Rome burns. They’ll talk about Trump playing golf while Texas drowns.

Texas is about to get hit with a Category 4 hurricane. Harvey is the name. No, not that Harvey. Or that one. Katrina was a 4 when it made landfall, and it damn near wiped out New Orleans. Corpus Christi is right in the crosshairs.

What does Donald Trump do? Well, let’s go vacation and pardon a racist sheriff who abused his power and flouted the courts.

Instead of leading by example, or trying to lead in the slightest, Trump only cares about Trump. He’ll even try to shut down the government to save his ass.

Bob Mueller’s team issued subpoenas to PR execs that worked with Paul Manafort.

Mike Flynn is being fingered as the go between for the Russian hackers and Trump’s Campaign to deliver the DNC information.

Sebastian Gorka, Fake Doctor and Actual Nazi, was fired from the White House today. When firing a Nazi from the White House isn’t even in the top 3 stories, it’s a fucked up night.

I’m writing an article about pardons and presidential powers and limits this weekend. I might include it with the removal of a President article.

Have a good one.

Daily Check-In 8/24/2017

Thursday.

The phrase “Nothing much happened today” isn’t a phrase used often with Donald Trump as President. Even on the days where nothing big breaks, there’s still rumors and rumblings about what’s to come.

Take today for example. The biggest news items today were all rumors about what’s coming down the pipe.

More discussions about the new set of emails from the Trump Campaign trying to set up meetings with Putin.

More discussions about the Steele Dossier, and what’s coming to corroborate it.

More rumblings about the WaPo bombshell has that will prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that Trump was involved in the collusion.

What’s new today? Roger Stone threatening the lives of anyone’s in Congress that votes for Impeachment, and that there would be a Civil War if Trump is removed from office. If you’re if that sounds like Sedition why yes, yes it is.

What else is knew? Talk about Trump’s mental fitness to maintain the office. Talk about the 25th Amendment gets louder by the day.

Also new? There’s a category 3 hurricane headed to Texas. This is the first potential natural disaster under Donald Trump.

I’m not sure what’s coming up for the weekend. I hope to clean up the website, as well as write another article or two in the GTKYG series about removing a President from office.

Thanks

Have a good one.

Daily Check-In 8/23/2017

HSIOW. Holy Shit, it’s Only Wednesday!

Distraction versus Disaster.

That’s today’s lesson.

I could go into all of the stuff that happened today like I normally do, but I want to change things up. Plus, after studying Donald Trump for as long as I have, I’ve noticed a few things about his behaviors.

Trump has two settings with people. Friend or Foe. He’s too simple minded for subtleties like a complicated friendship. Anyone that disagrees with him, stops him, gets in his way, or isn’t differential enough to him is an enemy. His father preached revenge as a lifestyle.

So, what does this have to do with disasters and distractions? Everything.

Trump doesn’t play defense. He’s always on the offensive. Think Patton, but with no talent, skill, knowledge, or patience. Trump goes after every enemy with full bluster, and the media eats it up like candy. But it opens Trump up to attacks on several fronts.

This wasn’t a problem for him before. In the private sector, he could bully and sue his way out of almost anything. Now, every move is scrutinized.

Trump is a wounded animal. He attacks when he feels threatened. Many times, he’ll do something outlandish to distract from the disaster he faces. Today is one of those days.

Distraction: Trump’s rally from last night, where he went off-script and blamed everyone from Obama to the Media for his remarks on Charlottesville.

Disaster: Trump getting into a fight with Mitch McConnell about the Russian investigation and the sanctions bill.

Distraction: Picks a fight with both senators from Arizona, John McCain and Jeff Flake.

Disaster: Picks a fight with two of the senators who wrote the Russian Sanctions bill.

Distraction: More members of his administration are leaving.

Disaster: His Deputy Chief of Staff, Rick Dearborn, while working for Jeff Sessions, emailed Russia to set up meetings.

Distraction: Hint about pardoning a racist sheriff who flouted the law.

Disaster: Christopher Steele gives the FBI his sources so that they can follow up and recreate his findings.

Distraction: Trump attacks anyone and everyone who doesn’t do his bidding, including fellow Republicans in Congress.

Disaster: Everyone and anyone is attacking him back, including Republicans in Congress.

Distraction: Trump has Russia on his mind.

Disaster: The Steele Dossier looks more solid by the day.

Things are ramping up. The heat, the vitriol, the fighting. It’s going to get uglier before it gets better.

Something big is about to drop, I just don’t know what yet.